Wednesday, September 2, 2009

College football time! Handicapping the Heisman race


(Sam Bradford and his Heisman. Conspicuously missing: Billy Sims making an ass out himself)

If you're like me you're getting pumped for tomorrow's kickoff of the college football season. It only seems fair that while everyone is still 0-0 to make up some odds for a few players chances to win the biggest individual award in the game

The Favorites

Tim Tebow - QB - Florida: My odds on favorite to win the prize this season. Now, I'm going to pull a Lou Holtz here and say that Tebow may not be the best player in the country this year, but his schedule just screams monster numbers. There are at least 3 games on the schedule where he could be out of the game at halftime with the talent around him. Add that to only one difficult game away from "the Swamp" (at LSU) and we could see some all-time great numbers from the Gators' superman. HEISMAN ODDS: 3-2

Colt McCoy - QB - Texas: There were grumblings last year that McCoy was robbed of the award Bradford after that whole 45-35 thing. Much like the Gators, there are a few games on tap for the 'Horns that could be, as an understatement, pillow fights. Louisiana-Monroe, UTEP and UCF in Austin, and a road game at Wyoming could be just the type of stat padding games McCoy could use in this year's race. As always, the Oklahoma game could tip the balance for either McCoy or Bradford. HEISMAN ODDS: 3-1

Sam Bradford - QB - Oklahoma: Last year's winner could have a rough go of things if he wants to be the second repeat winner. A revamped O-line and a schedule that sports only one real cream puff team has the odds against the Sooners. Add in the possibility that DeMarco Murray could see a larger role and Bradford could see a significant drop in his numbers. Great QB's overcome adversity to win and it's clear that he knows how to do that. I've got him running third to start the season. HEISMAN ODDS: 5-1


Middle of the Pack


Jevan Snead - QB - Ole Miss: Look up the definition of "off-season hype" and Snead's picture will be the first one you see. The Rebels have a pretty favorable schedule and Snead has shown that he has the ability to win big games and make Heisman candidates cry. Tough year to be a QB trying to win a Heisman though. HEISMAN ODDS: 7-1

Jahvid Best - RB - California: Best's, well, best shot to win the award will more than likely be to win the elusive Pac-10 title. Games at Oregon and home versus USC in consecutive weeks will tell us a lot about his chances against the big dogs. HEISMAN ODDS: 9-1

Dez Bryant - WR - Oklahoma State: Must be tough to a top 10 team but only be 3rd in your own conference. Lost in the McCoy/Bradford hype is the Cowboys' talented wide out who put up almost 1,500 yards and 19 TD's last season. It's always tough for a wide receiver to win the Heisman and it will be even tougher with this year's field. HEISMAN ODDS: 10-1

Dark Horse Candidates

Robert Griffin - QB - Baylor: Freakishly talented, but trapped in the stacked Big 12. It's going to take some astronomical numbers for him to win this season. ODDS: 18-1

Terrelle Pryor - QB - Ohio State: Don't believe the story about his 4.2 40-yard dash time for 4.2 seconds, but if he can topple USC and Penn State this season he's got a shot. ODDS: 20-1

Joe McKnight - RB - USC: Could be his time to really break out and get some national recognition, especially if Matt Barkley struggles early in the season. ODDS: 25-1

C.J. Spiller - RB - Clemson: Big time sleeper candidate. The ACC is wide open outside of Virginia Tech and Spiller could earn some massive interest if he can lead them to a conference title. ODDS: 30-1

Jimmy Clausen - QB - Notre Dame: Why not? Stranger things have happened. ODDS: 50-1

MY PRE-SEASON TOP 5

#
1 - Tim Tebow - Florida
#2 - Colt McCoy - Texas (My Predicted Winner)
#3 - Jahvid Best - Cal
#4 - Sam Bradford - Oklahoma
#5 - C.J. Spiller - Clemson

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