(The feeling is mutual, coach)Definitely a fun weekend across the football landscape. Made some good calls, had some monumentally bad ones blow up in my face, but overall, here's what I learned....
1)
Never again Joe Pa, never again...: Well, the "Penn State for National Title wagon" was fun to ride while it lasted. First off, did I think had a chance to run the table and go undefeated? Yes. Did I think they would beat Iowa on Saturday? Yes. Would I have advised even my worst enemy to put money on Penn State? Absolutely not. For as supremely confident as I was about the Nittany Lions, my relationship with the team reached a breaking point Saturday night. Daryll Clark, I'm done waiting around for you to turn that corner from serviceable QB to elite dual threat. Since it doesn't appear as if it's ever going to happen, I'll be damned if I'm just going to hang around forever while you wallow in mediocrity. Outside of the pass that went for a touchdown, Clark looked absolutely awful against the Hawkeye defense. Sure, the weather was probably played a small role in Penn State's struggles, but Iowa seemed to have no problem catching Clark's quackers over the middle.
Kirk Ferentz is a total sadist by the way. Until about the 7 minute mark of the 4th quarter, his Iowa team was letting Penn State twist in the wind, giving them false hope they had any chance to win that game. Appreciate it Kirk; I could have gone without the roller coaster moment of Evan Royster breaking a big run, only to fumble the ball away. It's over for good between myself and this squad (at least until I come crawling back for more emotional abuse next year). Big loss for Joe Pa's squad, but it might be even worse for the much maligned Big 10. However, take heed all of you conference elitists...
2)
The Big 10 is no worse, or more overrated, top to bottom than the Big 12: Yeah, I'm going to go
there. Before I even start with this rant that will irk just about everyone I know, I'm going to backhand the next person that answers the question "what is the best football conference in college football?" with anything other than the SEC. They have the #1 team, Florida, the #3 team, Alabama (#2 in my personal top 25 just because Texas hasn't played anyone yet. Try not to schedule so many pillow fights outside of conference play next season Mack Brown) and to call the conference as a whole "stacked" really doesn't do it justice. Even the bottom of the conference (Kentucky, Arkansas) give the upper echelon of the conference fits. Anyway, onto the Big 10/Big 12 debate.
I will grant the Big 12 this, they've looked good this season on the whole. What I will not grant you is that the conference as a whole is on a different plane of existence than the Big 10 as an undeniable fact, because it's not. Here's a quick breakdown that supports my claim...
- The Big 12 has 5 teams ranked in the top 25. The Big 10 has 4
- The top 10 teams in the Big 12's combined record is 30-7. The top 10 in the Big 10's combined record is 27-7
- The Big 12 has three 4-0 teams (one 3-0 team in Texas A+M). So does the Big 10.
- Notable wins for the undefeated
Big 12- Kansas - def. Southern Miss. 35-28. Their best win was UCF)
- Missouri - def. Furman(?) 52-12. Combined opponents W/L is 5-10
- Texas - def. Texas Tech 34-24. Tech previously defeated Rice and North Dakota)
Big 10- Iowa - def. Penn State 21-10 on the road with Penn State ranked #5
- Michigan - def. Notre Dame 38-34
- Wisconsin - def. Fresno State 34-31 OT. Played close games with Boise State and Cincinnati
Did I miss something or do these facts seem to support my theory?
Can/will this all change before the end of the season? More than likely. But to make the wild claim that the Big 12 is somehow this all powerful conference and the Big 10 is a top heavy, big name version of the WAC this early in the season is irresponsible. Wait until conference play to start before you start jockeying for that 2nd (or 3rd depending on how the Pac-10 shakes out) best football conference title.
3)
Cal's dismal showing against Oregon reinforces my "Game of the Year" theory: After the first week of games, I predicted that USC at California would be the best game of the year. Well, after watching the Ducks absolutely drub Cal by 39 points, (nice prediction Colin Cowherd, apparently Masoli can throw the ball) it seems all the more likely that it will be true. Unless you're the Tennessee Titans, desperation usually leads to a measured amount of on-field success. After losing to Oregon, if Cal has any aspirations to win the Pac-10 and be in the Rose Bowl, they absolutely must beat USC on Saturday. The Bears get the Trojans in their house with their backs against the wall. Jahvid Best and his teammates will come out swinging; will USC be able to weather the onslaught and finish Cal off yet again?
4)
Kentucky may be the most important team in college football this season: The first time I saw the replay of Tim Tebow's injury against the Wildcats on Saturday, I wasn't watching the actual knockout hit. Unfortunately, I was totally mesmerized by Urban Meyer on the sidelines shouting "no, no, no" with the look of a man who is watching his National Title meal ticket about to get run over by an unblocked freight train. Kentucky hasn't been all that great since Andre Woodson left, and probably won't be in the foreseeable future. However, if "Superman" has any lingering effects after being drilled against Kentucky, they may have provided the most important moment of the year. Just about everyone has, or had, Florida penciled in to their National Title game before this season. If the Gators, or more importantly Tebow, don't play well and drop their next game against LSU, everyone is going to be thinking back to that moment when Tebow hit ground as the single most important moment of the college football season. A lot of one loss teams have new found hope for a National Title berth thanks to a middle of the road SEC team.
4)
Calm down everyone, we've seen this Brett Favre story before: Did Favre make a good throw against the Niners? Yes. Was Greg Lewis catch better than the throw? In every way possible. Should the media be falling all over themselves with the "Brett Favre is back and taking the Vikings to the Super Bowl" talk? Not at all. We love moments, and tend to forget everything else that happens leading up to that moment, or immediately after that moment. Lost in the love fest after Greg Lewis' incredible play (I don't care how it's being labeled. Greg Lewis' toe tap catch>>>Brett Favre's throw) is the fact that Favre was 24-46 passing with a pick. Most people would call that a mediocre performance, maybe worse because of the caliber of QB we're talking about. But, since he made a good throw at the end of the game, no will remember all that other stuff. I know, the only thing that counts is the W, but let's not get ahead of ourselves with the Super Bowl talk. We've seen this show before, most recently with Favre and the Jets last season. Correct me if I'm wrong, but I don't think that season ended well for either party involved.
5)
Who called the end to the Lions' woes? This guy!: What a fun weekend. First, I was told that if looked hard at the facts, I would see Greg Paulus is more important to Syracuse than Tim Tebow is to Florida. When I respectfully disagreed, i.e. walked away before I started laughing hysterically in the kids' face, I was told I knew nothing about college football. Next, I was labeled an "idiot" by an old man in Members Only jacket at a casino for claiming that the Detroit Lions over the Redskins was the easiest game to pick in the NFL that weekend. Granted, I got alot of dirty looks from people when I said this, but the old man was the only one to legitimately take offense to my pick. Guess he's a relative of Jim Zorn or something. Realistically, what did Washington bring to the table that screamed "STAY AWAY FROM THIS GAME" when the Lions were +6 1/2 at +210 at game time?
Were they going to beat them with offense? Absolutely not; Detroit is serviceable on defense and the Redskins are straight terrible on offense. I'm not sure if Jason Campbell will ever play well for Washington again after being dangled out as Jay Cutler bait. Was Washington going to stop the Lions' offense? No; why would anyone think that? Because they held the RAMS to 7 points? The fact is this; the game against Washington was put up on a tee for Detroit, and they nailed it for a ground rule double. Not exactly a home run because they tried their best to pull a Detroit Lions and give it away, but they did win the game. And even if they were going to lose, did I miss the memo where Washington is some unstoppable scoring machine that can cover a 6 1/2 point line with ease? This team was in the red zone all day against St. Louis the week before, and came away with 3 field goals.
The massive losing streak had to end at some point, I just knew it would be this week. How's that "personal betting pattern" (he really said this after calling in two bets on horses at Saratoga that were 3/2 and 5/2 favorites in their respective races. Way to go out on a limb, genius) now old man? Looks like pretty easy money from my perspective.
6)
About those Steelers, maybe they really do need Troy Polamalu: All the talk coming out of the Week one game against Tennessee was that they Steelers were deep enough in the secondary to tread water while Troy Polamalu is out with an injury. Care to reconsider that position? I'm not innocent in this whole situation, seeing as I basically said that the Steelers would repeat with ease after they beat the Titans, but maybe we all misread how problematic the loss of Polamalu would be. Pittsburgh now sits at 1-2, having lost to a Chicago team that was reeling after horrific performance in Green Bay and a Bengals team they had down 20-3 at one. What has the common thread running through both of these losses? Massive letdowns in the defensive secondary. Jay Cutler carved up the Steelers corners and safeties on two consecutive drives that led to the tying and winning scores. Then, against Cincinnati, the Bengals converted on 2 consecutive 4th and long situations with under 2 minutes to play. You think Brian Leonard makes it to that 1st down marker or Andre Caldwell makes that TD catch if #43 is stalking the secondary? I vote no.
7)
New Orleans found a running game. Uh oh...: If I told you that Reggie Bush was the third best running back on an NFL team, what would you say? I'm going to guess either "You're crazy" or "Wow, that team must have some really good running backs". Lucky for me, the latter is the more logical choice. Drew Brees went without a TD pass against the Bills...and they still won by 20 points! Mike Bell and Pierre Thomas are perfect examples of how scrap heap players that get inserted into the right situation can become Pro Bowl-ers almost immediately. With the threat of Brees burning your secondary, and laughing at your pitiful attempts to stop him, always a possibility, there's always going to some room for the running backs to gain some yardage. They've shown passing prowess, a solid defense, and now a multi-dimensional running game. The Saints are the kind of team defensive coordinators have nightmares about.
8)
Has there ever been a worse 3-0 team than the Denver Broncos?: Seriously, I don't know. Has there? Because if there has, I must know of this team.